Dear MDI,

I indeed do have to write a special report on this storm affecting the region, as this situation has grown serious. I will in this special report include timing, preciptation types and amounts, and what this means for a snow day.

This storm is one like no other. Even models are baffled on where to put this, as this storm fits no criteria. It isn’t a nor’easter, it isn’t an Alberta Clipper, it’s not normal. But models have tried their best, and I will give a timeline of this storm.

2:00PM: Snow starts falling, light at first.

Monday Evening Commute: Snow will be light, generally making the roads wet but not slippery.

9PM: An inch has fallen at this point, and the storm begins to pick up in intensity.

3-4AM: Storm rapidly picks up in intensity. This is where we could see a wintry mix come into the picture.

7AM: The storm reaches it’s peak, with snowfall rates of an inch an hour.

Tuesday Morning Commute: Snowfall and wintry mix will be the worst at this time. It is generally advised to not travel during this period, or if you must, travel with extreme caution.

11AM-12PM: The storm begins to lift off, with snowfall slowing down.

Tuesday Afternoon Commute: Snowfall will still be lifting off, so still travel with an air of caution. Maitenence crews might still be working, so pay attention.

5PM: Snowfall ends.

Accumulation rates still vary, but I’ll give a general synopsis at this point, which is 5-8 inches. This rate could vary, so stay tuned to forecasting. There also could be an ice accumulation of around a tenth of an inch.

This, in my opinion, generally means a snow day for Tuesday.

Stay safe in the following days MDI, and I’ll see you for a follow-up report on Wednesday.

Dear MDI,

I am thoroughly excited, as it appears to be that MDI will be getting it’s first large snowstorm on Monday AND Tuesday with as much as 14 inches of snow! This might sound crazy to be having a large nor’easter event this early in the season, but keep reading and I’ll explain everything on how a Miller B nor’easter can form this early in the season, and what to expect. First, your weekend forecast.

As low pressure over Newfoundland keeps sucking air in, and high pressure in central Canada keeps pushing air out, Saturday will be sunny, but very cold and very windy, with gusts around 30 mph and high temperatures only reaching the upper 20s. Sunday, however, the low pressure will move out of the area and high pressure in, making for a still cold but very tranquil and sunny Sunday, with highs in the upper 20s again.

Here’s where this forecast begins to get interesting. Models still disagree on the exact path of this nor’easter and what this means for the area, but they do all agree on snow. I can’t even decipher yet what this means for the area, and this will definitely call for a Sunday special blog post. I can say a few things however, so listen closely!

This storm will most likely take place between 9AM Monday and 3PM Tuesday. This storm will have two peak events: A lesser peak of snowfall rate on Monday evening and a very high peak of snowfall rate at Tuesday at noon. It depends on how close this low can slide to the coast, but we could be seeing anywhere from 5 inches to 15!!! A very long spectrum, I know, but it’s the best I can do among this much disagreement between models. You can see the disagreement between the models I will put down below as graphics.

That’s all for today, everyone. Stay tuned for Sunday’s blog post on precisely how much snow we are going to get and if we are going to have a snow day or not. Until then, have a great weekend!

Hello MDI!

Let’s start out with the storm that is expected to impact this area tonight and tomorrow. Rain will move in around 6-7PM tonight, and it will generally rain all night with even the possibility of a thunder clap or two. However, as this Alberta Clipper begins to move southeast into the Canadian Maritimes, it will suck cold air into the region behind it, bringing a tail end of snow. This is where we could expect to see a general dusting, not as much as expected but still a covering on the ground making for a slick travel commute if you are going anywhere on Thanksgiving. Temps will remain steady in the low 30s throughout the day before the storm exits.

The storm will drag cold air into the region behind it as previously mentioned, bringing temperatures down to a 30 degree high on Friday and 25 degree high on Saturday, both sunny but very cold days especially as we will have to factor in wind chill for Friday as the storm exiting the region causing excessive wind gusts.

Finally, let’s talk about the winter storm crossing our way on Monday. Not much is known about this storm yet- but I’ll give a general timeline of what I expect to happen right now.

Right around 9 in the morning on Monday, this nor’easter comes marching in, and by noon heavy snow will be slowing down commute in the area and making it dangerous. The storm stalls off Cape Cod around 3PM in the afternoon, toning down the snowfall rate but keeping the snow over us longer. Some other precip might mix in at this point, but it’s too early to know. When the storm moves out into the Canadian Maritimes on Tuesday morning, the storm brings one last hurrah of a pocket of heavy snow before moving out.

At this time, I’m generally expecting a 3-6 inch snowfall accumulation, as illustrated by the graphic below. Things might change, but that’s what my Friday blog post is for, and Sunday if this storm is as bad as it looks right now on the horizon. Until then, have a happy Thanksgiving MDI!

Hello MDI!

This week is certainly shaping up to be all over the place in terms of weather. Let’s discuss the most important aspects, and snow events coming up this Thanksgiving and a week away from today!

This current nor’easter that is now exiting the region brought over a foot of snow to some Northern areas, but only rain, shown by the graphic below.

As this nor’easter exists the region into the Canadian Maritimes as most nor’easters do, tomorrow will be the same as today as high pressure is allowed into the region, with partly cloudy conditions and highs approaching 50.

However, another nor’easter will arrive on Wednesday night, and begin to slow down over the Gulf of Maine. This will generally mean another rain event for the region, with a general rain accumulation of 3/4 of an inch. However, as the nor’easter exits, Thursday morning will bring a tail end of snow, and we could see a general accumulation of 1-3 inches on the island depending on where you live for a white Thanksgiving.

After Thanksgiving, we could expect a general cooldown, with highs in the low 30s. This might set us up for a snowstorm on Monday, with accumulation ranging between none and 10 inches- it’s too far out to tell.

Here below you can see some graphics on the Thanksgiving Storm ahead and the storm coming up on Monday. I’ll come back with another forecast before Thanksgiving. Until then, have a great beginning to your week MDI!

Hello MDI!

Not much is happening in terms of weather right now. Up north is getting an average amount of snowfall, but MDI is below average currently in terms of early season snowfall. This trend will continue- snow showers will blow through tonight, but little to no accumulation is expected. As the week ends, Thursday will be sunny with a high around 40 and Friday will bring showers and breezy conditions as low pressure passes north of the region, with a high approaching 50 as low pressure draws air from the south. One last day where a coat isn’t needed!

Friday will bring a more detailed forecast for the weekend, but at this time expect a cold and sunny Saturday, and as low pressure approaches the region on Sunday, a building of clouds and rain.

Not much else to say about the weather at this time. See you on Friday MDI!

Hello MDI!

We are now only one work week away from Thanksgiving week. We should be seeing more snow around this time, but, unfortunately, none has shown up. It is supposed to continue raining through tonight and taper off slowly through tomorrow while areas up north are supposed to go through ice and snow accumulations up to a quarter inch and 5 inches, respectively.

The week will continue with a cloudy Wednesday and mostly sunny Thursday as a upper level through departs the region and high pressure moves in. The temperature will stay around the low 40s for highs throughout the day. Friday we might see some snow activity, but models are generally agreeing on only rain at this point.

It looks like a dreary lead-up to Thanksgiving with only one day this week where the sun will show itself, but remember that your 4-day weekend is coming shortly! Remember to come back for my next forecast on Wednesday. Until then, see you later!

Hello MDI! Happy Friday!

Not much has happened since Wednesday- the temperature has warmed back up again to normal November levels, around the low 40s. However, a strong cold front will cross the region today from the northwest, bringing with it scattered snow showers for the Downeast area for the early evening. This will usher in air from the north, bringing a flash freeze to any standing water and temperatures down into the teens. Saturday and Sunday will be sunny as high pressure tracks across Maine, but they will both be extremely cold days, with both days only reaching 30 and 35, respectively.

Next week will return to normal November temperatures, but a new stormy pattern will enter the region. Monday will bring heavy rain, with pockets of freezing rain in the Acadian Mountains, with no snow threat at this time. However, Friday is still being analyzed for a potential snow threat. The forecast can still change radically at this time, so stay tuned.

Thank you for reading and have a wonderful weekend! Stay warm!

Hello MDI! Hope we all had a wonderful long weekend and have been staying warm for this brutal cold for Maine this early in the season.

The storm on Tuesday deposited only a general coating on MDI but lots up north, up to a foot in the Aroostook Valley and the White Mountains. With all this snow, ski resorts are ready to open this weekend, including big names like Sugarloaf and Sunday River. Yay for skiing!

This afternoon and evening will remain like Late December temperatures during this Arctic blast, with temperatures dropping through the 20s and possibly breaking into the teens again overnight. However, as clouds build across the region on Thursday due to high pressure moving south to our region, temperatures will climb back up again into the upper 30s. A cold front carried by the high, however, will bring rain to the region tomorrow night, with snow showers high up north. As Friday comes and high pressure builds across the state, Friday will be sunny and warm, with highs possibly reaching the upper 40s. Temperatures will finally stabilize with this high pressure over the region, and the weekend will be generally party cloudy and seasonable, with high temperatures in the mid 30s.

No storms are expected in the upcoming forecast. There might be a disturbance on Tuesday, but this has yet to be properly researched and will be talked about more on Friday’s forecast.

Have a great rest of the day MDI! Stay warm!

Hello MDI!

The snowstorm went exactly as forecast- only areas up north received 3-5 inches of snow, while MDI through flurries during the night and a snow squall this afternoon received around an inch, with higher amounts in the mountains. Snow is still snow, though, and winter has begun!

Behind this snowstorm to the north was an Arctic airmass that has pushed it’s way in and will drop temperatures tonight into the upper 20s, making for a very cold pajama sale and bed race tomorrow in Downtown Bar Harbor with high temps in the upper 30s. However, as a high pressure system bulids to our south, warm air wiill start to make it’s way in, making for an overcast but overall plesant end to the weekend, with highs in the upper and mid 40s for Sunday and Veteran’s Day, respectively.

However, as the week begins, we are looking at an Alberta Clipper that will advance through the region, possibly bringing snow. How much at this point is not known, but I would estimate on the lower side, probably 2 inches, as the storm backs out of the area and leaves a snowy backside like this one. Also exactly like this one will allow Canadian air to drip down into Maine, bringing a large cooldown for the end of next week.

That’s all for this Friday, I know this is really short, but not much information needs to be covered, as other than Tuesday we are generally looking at a calm and cold future ahead of us. Thank you for reading, and stay tuned for a Veteran’s Day update on the storm ahead! Have a great weekend.

Good day MDI! Thank you for all your interest in this blog and subscribing! If you haven’t subscribed already, make sure to do so to keep up with my weather forecasts. On to my forecast this Wednesday!

Well, unfortunately at this point in time the forecast has made up its mind and there will be very little snow on Friday, only a dusting as the storm leaves the area. In fact, only areas north of Mount Katahdin will get enough snow for plowing Thursday night/Friday! Here’s a map that shows the general accumulation at the end of the storm.

Yes, even Bangor won’t get that much snow. This storm is indeed a flop.

Thursday will only bring an overcast sky, with rain starting to fade in around the end of the school day. After a good 12 hours of rain, the storm will run away into the Canadian Maritimes early in the morning, leaving behind a few snow showers in the vicinity as the sun rises. This might be where we get our dusting, and this is our first “snow” storm of this season.

This weekend will feature the first onslaught of winter, with Friday and Saturday both sunny but freezing, with temperatures struggling to meet the upper 30s. Sunday will be warmer, in the upper 40s, but gusty winds and an overcast sky will still keep the cold feeling around for an overall “bundle-up” weekend.

Next week, however, we are looking at a storm that might bring snow to the region. We cannot rule out wether this will be rain, or snow, but at this time all three powerhouse models are agreeing on generally snow. The three are just disagreeing for how intense it will be, from the European (most accurate) Model saying just a quick coating to the Canadian and United States model going with a strong Miller-A nor’easter. Come back on Friday for updates about the weekend and this storm looming on the horizon ahead. Thank you for reading!